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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 16019970405 · Bonneville County, ID · pop 9,163 · 62% of tract blocks fall in Lincoln

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 16019970405 in Lincoln, ID reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 9,163. Average gross rent is $1,618, 33% above the Lincoln average.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 16% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,572
Renter share20.2%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$87,839

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lincoln
Moderate
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 24 tracts In Bonneville County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#273 of 456 tracts In Idaho
Moderate
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 43.5125, -111.9678 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,618 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
5.9

How Lincoln compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 9704053.4Lincolnparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs about one in five here against 32.8% across Bonneville County. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. It tracks the Bonneville County average of 3.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $87,839.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 16019970405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16019970405?

Census tract 16019970405 in Lincoln scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 16019970405?

Median gross rent is $1,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 16019970405?

8.4% of residents in tract 16019970405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,163.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 16019970405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 62th, minority 26th, housing 65th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 16019970405 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 16019970405 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 16019970405 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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