Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Orvin Eviction Risk: Lower , Idaho Falls
Tract 16019970401 ·
Bonneville County, ID · pop 3,314 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 16019970401 covers part of the Orvin area of Idaho Falls, ID, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Bonneville County at 32.8%, 6% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 7%Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,095
Renter share7.5%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$114,653
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Orvin
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#15 of 15 tracts In Idaho Falls
Very Low
Within county
4th percentile
#23 of 24 tracts In Bonneville County
Very Low
Within state
34th percentile
#303 of 456 tracts In Idaho
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Idaho Falls and the region
Centroid at 43.5350, -112.0162 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orvin scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Idaho Falls
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Idaho legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Idaho Falls
1.5
How Orvin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
37%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
20%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.5%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
9.8%Food insecurity
6.6%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orvin
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally.
At $1,180 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Idaho Falls commands. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $114,653, annual rent is just 12%.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Bonneville County average of 3.5 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 16019970401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16019970401?
Census tract 16019970401 in the Orvin neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 16019970401?
Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 6% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 16019970401?
5.0% of residents in tract 16019970401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 16019970401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 44th, minority 20th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 16019970401 considered part of Orvin?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 16019970401 fall within Orvin (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 16019970401 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 16019970401 compare to Idaho Falls overall?
Tract 16019970401 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Idaho Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Idaho Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Idaho Falls
Top eight tracts in Idaho Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.