The Cottages at Illinois Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urbana

SNAP participation runs 43.1% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity runs 41.2% against 17.8% nationally. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $32,545, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.4/10. It sits 1.9 points above the Champaign County average of 5.8.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $1,297 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Champaign commands. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.