Forest-Southview Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

Cost burden runs 85% against 39.9% citywide, putting Forest-Southview Historic District 44.9% over its own city. Average gross rent is $1,570, 33% above the Calumet City average of $1,177. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 28.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 34.9% of adults, 17.1 points above the national rate.

The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 532 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2008, when filings touched 15.2% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 7.6% in 2015, is well off that peak. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Calumet City, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Only 28% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

One tract means one number: 6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.