Cabrini-Green Eviction Risk: Elevated

The voucher gap is 31.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Cost burden runs 37% against 29.3% citywide, putting Cabrini-Green 7.8% over its own city.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.3 to 7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Running hot is supply constraint at 8/10. The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Court records carry 2,880 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Disability prevalence reaches 18.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 14.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.4% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.