Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Forest-Southview Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Calumet City
Tract 17031826202 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 5,662 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 17031826202 covers part of the Forest-Southview Historic District area of Calumet City, IL, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 63%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 4%Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,971
Renter share27.8%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$56,295
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest-Southview Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
71th percentile
#3 of 8 tracts In Calumet City
Elevated
Within county
45th percentile
#734 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
74th percentile
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Calumet City and the region
Centroid at 41.5932, -87.5364 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest-Southview Historic District scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Calumet City
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,570 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Calumet City
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Calumet City
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Calumet City
4.0
How Forest-Southview Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
78%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
1%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
532Total filings over 15 yrs
7.68%Avg annual filing rate
15.2%Peak (2008)
45Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings climbed 15% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
28.2%Housing insecurity
18.8%Utility-shutoff threat
34.9%Food insecurity
35.3%SNAP enrollment
16.5%Transit barriers
13.7%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest-Southview Historic District
85% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Cook County average of 45.6%. At $1,570 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Calumet City commands.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $56,295, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is local political climate at 7.8/10. Housing insecurity runs 28.2% against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Court records carry 532 eviction filings across 15 observed years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 15.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lake Co. Gary. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031826202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031826202?
Census tract 17031826202 in the Forest-Southview Historic District neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031826202?
Median gross rent is $1,570/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031826202?
24.0% of residents in tract 17031826202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,662.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031826202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 85th, minority 85th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 17031826202 considered part of Forest-Southview Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031826202 fall within Forest-Southview Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031826202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031826202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.68% of renter households, peaking at 15.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031826202 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031826202 compare to Calumet City overall?
Tract 17031826202 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Calumet City at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Calumet City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031826202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Calumet City
Top eight tracts in Calumet City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.