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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Berger Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dolton

Tract 17031825801 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,448 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 17031825801 covers part of the Berger area of Calumet City, IL, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,448. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 20% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,596
Renter share62.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate40.1%
Median income$41,786

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Berger
Very Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Dolton
Moderate
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#729 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dolton and the region

Centroid at 41.6348, -87.5730 · click any tract to drill in

Why Berger scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dolton
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
40.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,201 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dolton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dolton
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dolton
4.0

How Berger compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Berger risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 825801Dolton: 6.46.4Doltonparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,468Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 12.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.5%Peak (2014)
  • 165Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318258012001: 72 filings (8.77/100 renter HHs)2002: 75 filings (9.14/100 renter HHs)2003: 69 filings (8.41/100 renter HHs)2004: 93 filings (11.33/100 renter HHs)2005: 103 filings (12.86/100 renter HHs)2006: 53 filings (6.62/100 renter HHs)2007: 74 filings (9.24/100 renter HHs)2008: 96 filings (11.99/100 renter HHs)2009: 106 filings (13.23/100 renter HHs)2010: 94 filings (11.55/100 renter HHs)2011: 93 filings (13.01/100 renter HHs)2012: 82 filings (11.47/100 renter HHs)2013: 125 filings (17.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 168 filings (23.50/100 renter HHs)2015: 165 filings (23.08/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 129% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Berger. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Berger

Against Cook County at 45.6%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Housing insecurity runs 35.6% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 27.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $41,786, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10. Court records carry 1,468 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 23.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031825801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031825801?

Census tract 17031825801 in the Berger neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031825801?

Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031825801?

40.1% of residents in tract 17031825801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,448.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031825801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 48th, minority 95th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 17031825801 considered part of Berger?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031825801 fall within Berger (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031825801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,468 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031825801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.78% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031825801 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031825801 compare to Dolton overall?

Tract 17031825801 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Dolton at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dolton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dolton

Top eight tracts in Dolton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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