Jarvis Square Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.

Court records carry 672 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,292, 10% below the Chicago average.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 5.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.