Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031190402 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,896 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 17031190402 sits in the Belmont Park area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.6/10. Population here is 4,896. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,791
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$60,316
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9349, -87.7712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont Park scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,222 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Belmont Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 72%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 278Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2010)
- 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.7%Housing insecurity
- 11.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.1%Food insecurity
- 22.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.9%Transit barriers
- 25.2%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont Park
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 278 filings here across 15 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,222, 15% below the Chicago average. SNAP participation runs 22.9% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 5.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031190402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031190402?
Census tract 17031190402 in the Belmont Park neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031190402?
Median gross rent is $1,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031190402?
15.1% of residents in tract 17031190402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,896.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031190402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 60th, minority 81th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 17031190402 considered part of Belmont Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031190402 fall within Belmont Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031190402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031190402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.10% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031190402 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031190402 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031190402 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031190402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stony Island Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Roseland
8.1
/ 10 · High
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