Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031190100 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,338 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031190100 covers part of the Belmont Park area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $888, 38% below the Chicago average.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units857
Renter share76.4%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$53,717
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9352, -87.7444 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont Park scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$888 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Belmont Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 77%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 204Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2012)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.4%Food insecurity
- 24.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.7%Transit barriers
- 27.7%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont Park
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.7% against 11.3% nationally.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 24.5% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 204 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031190100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031190100?
Census tract 17031190100 in the Belmont Park neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031190100?
Median gross rent is $888/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031190100?
6.5% of residents in tract 17031190100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,338.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031190100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 46th, minority 93th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 17031190100 considered part of Belmont Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031190100 fall within Belmont Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031190100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 204 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031190100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.75% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031190100 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031190100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031190100 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031190100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stony Island Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Roseland
8.1
/ 10 · High
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