Pocket Town Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

SNAP participation runs 44.4% against 15.2% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.3/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,105, 23% below the Chicago average.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 638 evictions over 15 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 9.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.