Brookdale Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.2/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $38,605, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 32.4% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,093, 24% below the Chicago average.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.1/10. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Cook County average of 45.6%. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 378 filings here across 15 tracked years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2008 at 6.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.