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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Bryn Mawr West Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031430500 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,882 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

17031430500 is a census tract in the Bryn Mawr West area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,882 residents. Food insecurity runs 44.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 45% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units2,059
Renter share87.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate30.3%
Median income$36,310

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Bryn Mawr West
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#115 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7643, -87.5813 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bryn Mawr West scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
30.3% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$974 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Bryn Mawr West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bryn Mawr West risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 430500Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,541Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 11.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak (2002)
  • 196Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314305002001: 201 filings (11.63/100 renter HHs)2002: 221 filings (12.79/100 renter HHs)2003: 184 filings (10.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 171 filings (9.90/100 renter HHs)2005: 132 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)2006: 130 filings (7.72/100 renter HHs)2007: 150 filings (8.91/100 renter HHs)2008: 157 filings (9.33/100 renter HHs)2009: 125 filings (7.43/100 renter HHs)2010: 130 filings (8.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 163 filings (12.37/100 renter HHs)2012: 201 filings (15.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 186 filings (14.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 194 filings (14.72/100 renter HHs)2015: 196 filings (14.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bryn Mawr West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr West

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $974 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $36,310 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,541 filings here across 15 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 12.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031430500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031430500?

Census tract 17031430500 in the Bryn Mawr West neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031430500?

Median gross rent is $974/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031430500?

30.3% of residents in tract 17031430500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,882.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031430500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 84th, minority 99th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 17031430500 considered part of Bryn Mawr West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031430500 fall within Bryn Mawr West (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031430500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,541 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031430500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.06% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031430500 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031430500 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031430500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031430500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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