Park Manor Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.2/10. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cook County average of 45.6%. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 27.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Average gross rent is $1,069, 26% below the Chicago average. The filing record is not thin: 888 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 9.8% of renter households were served.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.