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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Crawford Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031301802 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,623 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031301802 in the Crawford area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,623. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 19% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units945
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$25,513

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In Crawford
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#104 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8452, -87.7278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crawford scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$969 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Crawford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crawford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 301802Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 257Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2015)
  • 30Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170313018022001: 14 filings (2.13/100 renter HHs)2002: 10 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2003: 18 filings (2.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (3.50/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (3.30/100 renter HHs)2008: 14 filings (2.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 19 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (1.62/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (3.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (4.39/100 renter HHs)2014: 21 filings (3.29/100 renter HHs)2015: 30 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 114% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crawford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crawford

Against Cook County at 45.6%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $25,513 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

SNAP participation runs 37.0% against 15.2% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Housing insecurity runs 33.0% against 14.2% nationally. At $969 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Court records carry 257 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031301802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031301802?

Census tract 17031301802 in the Crawford neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031301802?

Median gross rent is $969/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031301802?

26.1% of residents in tract 17031301802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,623.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031301802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 71th, minority 96th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 17031301802 considered part of Crawford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031301802 fall within Crawford (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031301802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 257 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031301802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.87% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031301802 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031301802 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031301802 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031301802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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