Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Kelvyn Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031210400 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,491 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 17031210400 covers part of the Kelvyn Park area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,491 residents. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share63.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$64,665
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9357, -87.7303 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kelvyn Park scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,425 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Kelvyn Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 75%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 225Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2012)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kelvyn Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.0%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.5%Food insecurity
- 28.8%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%Transit barriers
- 24.2%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kelvyn Park
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.
It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 28.8% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 26.0% against 14.2% nationally.
Running hot, economic stress reads 7.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 225 evictions over 15 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 5.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031210400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031210400?
Census tract 17031210400 in the Kelvyn Park neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031210400?
Median gross rent is $1,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031210400?
31.2% of residents in tract 17031210400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,491.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031210400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 66th, minority 85th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 17031210400 considered part of Kelvyn Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031210400 fall within Kelvyn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031210400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 225 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031210400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.84% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031210400 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031210400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031210400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031210400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jackson Park Highlands District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stewart Ridge
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Schorsch
8.1
/ 10 · High
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