Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Kelvyn Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031200401 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,408 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 17031200401 covers part of the Kelvyn Park area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,408 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units931
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$73,384
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9198, -87.7375 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kelvyn Park scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Kelvyn Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 83%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 250Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2002)
- 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kelvyn Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.0%Housing insecurity
- 13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.3%Food insecurity
- 24.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 28.1%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kelvyn Park
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 27.0% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $1,148, 20% below the Chicago average.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. SNAP participation runs 24.6% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 250 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 4.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031200401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031200401?
Census tract 17031200401 in the Kelvyn Park neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031200401?
Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031200401?
15.0% of residents in tract 17031200401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,408.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031200401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 88th, minority 93th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 17031200401 considered part of Kelvyn Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031200401 fall within Kelvyn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031200401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 250 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031200401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.76% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031200401 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031200401 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031200401 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031200401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Princeton Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Kensington
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chinatown
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Avalon Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related