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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Kelvyn Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031200401 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,408 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 17031200401 runs through Kelvyn Park in Chicago. With 3,408 residents, it scores 5.8/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,148 a month while the average household earns $73,384 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 30% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units931
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$73,384

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Kelvyn Park
Very Low
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#409 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#457 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#660 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9198, -87.7375 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kelvyn Park scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Kelvyn Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kelvyn Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 200401Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 250Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak (2002)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312004012001: 23 filings (3.95/100 renter HHs)2002: 26 filings (4.47/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (2.92/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)2005: 14 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2006: 12 filings (1.94/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2009: 8 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (2.41/100 renter HHs)2012: 23 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2013: 17 filings (2.73/100 renter HHs)2014: 21 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (2.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kelvyn Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kelvyn Park

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031200401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031200401?

Census tract 17031200401 in the Kelvyn Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031200401?

Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031200401?

15.0% of residents in tract 17031200401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,408.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031200401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 88th, minority 93th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 17031200401 considered part of Kelvyn Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031200401 fall within Kelvyn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031200401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 250 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031200401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.76% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031200401 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031200401 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031200401 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031200401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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