Lakewood-Balmoral Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031030703 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 3,093 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 17031030703 sits in the Lakewood-Balmoral area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.8/10. It is home to 3,093 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%Stable renters 41%Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,885
Renter share72.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$68,861
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Lakewood-Balmoral
Moderate
Within parent city
60th percentile
#320 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
76th percentile
#326 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
89th percentile
#348 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9789, -87.6579 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakewood-Balmoral scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,221 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Lakewood-Balmoral compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
73%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
501Total filings over 15 yrs
2.35%Avg annual filing rate
3.0%Peak (2004)
31Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings dropped 24% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lakewood-Balmoral. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.8%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
13.9%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
9.1%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakewood-Balmoral
This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.7 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 501 filings here across 15 tracked years. At $1,221 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 3.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #9,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031030703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031030703?
Census tract 17031030703 in the Lakewood-Balmoral neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031030703?
Median gross rent is $1,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031030703?
19.8% of residents in tract 17031030703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,093.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031030703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 80th, minority 62th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 17031030703 considered part of Lakewood-Balmoral?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031030703 fall within Lakewood-Balmoral (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031030703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 501 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031030703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.35% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031030703 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031030703 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031030703 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031030703 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.