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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,832 of 84,120 nationally

Mandell Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031252201 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,258 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 17031252201 sits in the Mandell neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 3,258 and an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). 67% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 47% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,214/month against a median household income of $45,458 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 20% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,071
Renter share59.7%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate32.4%
Median income$45,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 8 tracts In Mandell
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank — 88th percentileBottomTop
#100 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank — 93th percentileBottomTop
#96 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank — 96th percentileBottomTop
#130 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8767, -87.7521 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mandell scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
32.4% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,214 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Mandell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mandell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 252201Chicago: 6.86.8Chicagoparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 628Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 6.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2004)
  • 41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312522012001: 64 filings (10.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 50 filings (8.22/100 renter HHs)2003: 36 filings (5.92/100 renter HHs)2004: 71 filings (11.68/100 renter HHs)2005: 26 filings (4.19/100 renter HHs)2006: 32 filings (5.15/100 renter HHs)2007: 42 filings (6.76/100 renter HHs)2008: 37 filings (5.96/100 renter HHs)2009: 35 filings (5.64/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (5.54/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (4.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 44 filings (7.37/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (6.20/100 renter HHs)2014: 53 filings (8.88/100 renter HHs)2015: 41 filings (6.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mandell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031252201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031252201?

Census tract 17031252201 in the Mandell neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031252201?

Median gross rent is $1,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031252201?

32.4% of residents in tract 17031252201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,258.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031252201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 69th, minority 96th, housing 89th.

Q5

Is tract 17031252201 considered part of Mandell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031252201 fall within Mandell (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031252201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 628 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031252201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.91% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 17031252201 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 17031252201 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031252201 scores 6.6/10 — right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 17031252201 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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