Within neighborhood
38
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Marshall Square Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031843500 · Cook County, IL · pop 9,398 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031843500 in the Marshall Square area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. At $839 a month, rents run 42% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units190
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$55,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8410, -87.6976 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marshall Square scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$839 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Marshall Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 72Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2013)
- 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 80% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Marshall Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.6%Housing insecurity
- 18.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.5%Food insecurity
- 34.4%SNAP enrollment
- 19.5%Transit barriers
- 24.3%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marshall Square
Food insecurity runs 40.5% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 72 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 8.9% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031843500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031843500?
Census tract 17031843500 in the Marshall Square neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031843500?
Median gross rent is $839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031843500?
25.6% of residents in tract 17031843500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,398.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031843500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 19th, minority 90th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 17031843500 considered part of Marshall Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031843500 fall within Marshall Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031843500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 72 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031843500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.74% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031843500 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031843500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031843500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031843500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Arcade Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
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