Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Noble Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031243300 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,285 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 17031243300 covers part of the Noble Square area of Chicago, IL, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,285. Average gross rent is $2,103, 46% above the Chicago average.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,371
Renter share76.9%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$122,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8925, -87.6647 · click any tract to drill in
Why Noble Square scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,103 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Noble Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 92%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 104Total filings over 15 yrs
- 0.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2002)
- 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Noble Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 16.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Noble Square
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.6% against 31.5% nationally.
Cost burden runs 37% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The voucher gap is 19.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Court records carry 104 eviction filings across 15 observed years. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the Cook County average of 6.1.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031243300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031243300?
Census tract 17031243300 in the Noble Square neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031243300?
Median gross rent is $2,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031243300?
4.2% of residents in tract 17031243300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,285.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031243300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 2th, minority 53th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 17031243300 considered part of Noble Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031243300 fall within Noble Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031243300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 104 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031243300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.81% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031243300 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031243300 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031243300 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031243300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 92% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Chicago Heights
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Tri-Taylor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Clarendon Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Polish Village
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
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