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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031230500 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,080 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 17031230500 covers part of the Pacific Junction area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 31% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,291
Renter share74.2%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$35,727

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 16 tracts In Pacific Junction
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9117, -87.7339 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pacific Junction scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$886 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Pacific Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pacific Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 230500Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 258Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2010)
  • 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312305002001: 16 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2002: 16 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2004: 14 filings (1.93/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)2006: 9 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2008: 13 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2010: 40 filings (4.96/100 renter HHs)2011: 16 filings (2.02/100 renter HHs)2012: 22 filings (2.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 24 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2014: 22 filings (2.77/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (1.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction

Food insecurity runs 40.9% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $886, 38% below the Chicago average. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%. SNAP participation runs 34.7% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The filing record is not thin: 258 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 5.0% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031230500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031230500?

Census tract 17031230500 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031230500?

Median gross rent is $886/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031230500?

23.4% of residents in tract 17031230500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,080.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031230500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 87th, minority 95th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 17031230500 considered part of Pacific Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031230500 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031230500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 258 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031230500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.17% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031230500 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031230500 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031230500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031230500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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