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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

O'Keeffe Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031430101 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,468 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

17031430101 is a census tract in the O'Keeffe area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,468. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 32% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,878
Renter share83.6%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate29.1%
Median income$37,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In O'Keeffe
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#110 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7699, -87.5740 · click any tract to drill in

Why O'Keeffe scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
29.1% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,235 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How O'Keeffe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
O'Keeffe risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 430101Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,238Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.1%Peak (2001)
  • 150Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314301012001: 260 filings (12.14/100 renter HHs)2002: 221 filings (10.32/100 renter HHs)2003: 154 filings (7.19/100 renter HHs)2004: 150 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 102 filings (5.34/100 renter HHs)2006: 113 filings (5.91/100 renter HHs)2007: 93 filings (4.87/100 renter HHs)2008: 156 filings (8.16/100 renter HHs)2009: 123 filings (6.44/100 renter HHs)2010: 141 filings (10.76/100 renter HHs)2011: 127 filings (9.10/100 renter HHs)2012: 143 filings (10.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 182 filings (13.05/100 renter HHs)2014: 123 filings (8.82/100 renter HHs)2015: 150 filings (10.75/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within O'Keeffe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in O'Keeffe

SNAP participation runs 52.8% against 15.2% nationally. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Housing insecurity runs 37.0% against 14.2% nationally. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $37,917 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10.

Court records carry 2,238 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031430101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031430101?

Census tract 17031430101 in the O'Keeffe neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031430101?

Median gross rent is $1,235/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031430101?

29.1% of residents in tract 17031430101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,468.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031430101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 53th, minority 99th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 17031430101 considered part of O'Keeffe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031430101 fall within O'Keeffe (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031430101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,238 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031430101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.67% of renter households, peaking at 12.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031430101 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031430101 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031430101 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031430101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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