Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Douglass Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031843300 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,572 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031843300 in the Douglass Park area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 57% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units416
Renter share85.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$65,278

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Douglass Park
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#80 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#274 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8638, -87.6926 · click any tract to drill in

Why Douglass Park scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$1,030 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Douglass Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Douglass Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 843300Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 272Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.6%Peak (2003)
  • 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318433002001: 26 filings (6.75/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)2003: 33 filings (8.57/100 renter HHs)2004: 19 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2006: 14 filings (3.57/100 renter HHs)2007: 10 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2008: 11 filings (2.81/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2010: 16 filings (6.48/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (3.54/100 renter HHs)2012: 26 filings (7.67/100 renter HHs)2013: 32 filings (9.44/100 renter HHs)2014: 20 filings (5.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 24 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Douglass Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Douglass Park

86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cook County average of 45.6%. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 32.0% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

At $1,030 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Chicago commands. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Court records carry 272 eviction filings across 15 observed years. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Filings peaked in 2003 at 8.6% of renter households.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031843300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031843300?

Census tract 17031843300 in the Douglass Park neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031843300?

Median gross rent is $1,030/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031843300?

35.5% of residents in tract 17031843300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,572.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031843300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 74th, minority 93th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 17031843300 considered part of Douglass Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031843300 fall within Douglass Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031843300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 272 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031843300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.12% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031843300 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031843300 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031843300 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031843300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related