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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Oakwood Shores Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031380600 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,025 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 17031380600 sits in the Oakwood Shores area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 29% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units2,087
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate32.0%
Median income$35,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 14 tracts In Oakwood Shores
High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#143 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#90 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8202, -87.6229 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakwood Shores scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
32.0% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$1,285 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Oakwood Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakwood Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 380600Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oakwood Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakwood Shores

Against Cook County at 45.6%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $35,804 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.

It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Housing insecurity runs 31.6% against 14.2% nationally.

This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, economic stress reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $1,285, 11% below the Chicago average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #7,382 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031380600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031380600?

Census tract 17031380600 in the Oakwood Shores neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031380600?

Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031380600?

32.0% of residents in tract 17031380600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031380600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 90th, minority 90th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 17031380600 considered part of Oakwood Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031380600 fall within Oakwood Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17031380600 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17031380600 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031380600 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17031380600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 92% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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