Within neighborhood
62
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Oakwood Shores Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031351500 · Cook County, IL · pop 946 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 17031351500 covers part of the Oakwood Shores area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 946. SNAP participation runs 38.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 52%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units382
Renter share90.6%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate31.4%
Median income$65,938
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8272, -87.6277 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakwood Shores scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.4% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,467 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Oakwood Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 187Total filings over 11 yrs
- 6.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.7%Peak (2001)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 95% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakwood Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.5%Housing insecurity
- 20.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.6%Food insecurity
- 38.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.8%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakwood Shores
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Food insecurity runs 36.6% against 17.8% nationally. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Running hot, economic stress reads 7.9/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 187 filings here across 11 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 16.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,382 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031351500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031351500?
Census tract 17031351500 in the Oakwood Shores neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031351500?
Median gross rent is $1,467/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031351500?
31.4% of residents in tract 17031351500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 946.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031351500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 32th, minority 89th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 17031351500 considered part of Oakwood Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031351500 fall within Oakwood Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031351500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 187 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 17031351500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.52% of renter households, peaking at 16.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031351500 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031351500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031351500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031351500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr West
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Princeton Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Corwith
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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