Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Polish Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031210502 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,412 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 17031210502 covers part of the Polish Village area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,412. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,516
Renter share68.4%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$79,857
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9338, -87.7221 · click any tract to drill in
Why Polish Village scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,509 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Polish Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 356Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2011)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Polish Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.3%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 17.0%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Polish Village
This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Court records carry 356 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 4.7% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031210502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031210502?
Census tract 17031210502 in the Polish Village neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031210502?
Median gross rent is $1,509/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031210502?
14.7% of residents in tract 17031210502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,412.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031210502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 19th, minority 80th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 17031210502 considered part of Polish Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031210502 fall within Polish Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031210502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 356 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031210502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.50% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031210502 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031210502 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031210502 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031210502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr West
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Princeton Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Corwith
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related