The Bush Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031460200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,880 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 17031460200 covers part of the The Bush area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,880 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7414, -87.5470 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Bush scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow The Bush compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 79%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 624Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2006)
- 33Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Bush. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.3%Housing insecurity
- 22.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.1%Food insecurity
- 44.5%SNAP enrollment
- 21.4%Transit barriers
- 25.4%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 40.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in The Bush
SNAP participation runs 44.5% against 15.2% nationally. At $878 a month, rents run 39% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Housing insecurity runs 35.3% against 14.2% nationally. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $29,246, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 624 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 13.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 17031460200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031460200?
What is the average rent in tract 17031460200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031460200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031460200?
Is tract 17031460200 considered part of The Bush?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031460200?
What share of households in tract 17031460200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17031460200 compare to Chicago overall?
Was tract 17031460200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.