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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

The Bush Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031460200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,880 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 17031460200 covers part of the The Bush area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,880 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 27% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units925
Renter share60.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate36.2%
Median income$29,246

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In The Bush
Elevated
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#220 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#130 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7414, -87.5470 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Bush scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
36.2% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$878 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How The Bush compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Bush risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 460200Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 624Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 7.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.3%Peak (2006)
  • 33Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314602002001: 42 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 35 filings (5.38/100 renter HHs)2003: 53 filings (8.15/100 renter HHs)2004: 51 filings (7.85/100 renter HHs)2005: 53 filings (11.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 61 filings (13.26/100 renter HHs)2007: 39 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)2008: 42 filings (9.13/100 renter HHs)2009: 39 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)2010: 44 filings (8.70/100 renter HHs)2011: 37 filings (6.30/100 renter HHs)2012: 39 filings (6.64/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (4.77/100 renter HHs)2014: 28 filings (4.77/100 renter HHs)2015: 33 filings (5.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Bush. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Bush

SNAP participation runs 44.5% against 15.2% nationally. At $878 a month, rents run 39% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Housing insecurity runs 35.3% against 14.2% nationally. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $29,246, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 624 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 13.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031460200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031460200?

Census tract 17031460200 in the The Bush neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031460200?

Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031460200?

36.2% of residents in tract 17031460200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,880.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031460200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 97th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 17031460200 considered part of The Bush?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031460200 fall within The Bush (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031460200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 624 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031460200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.70% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031460200 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031460200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031460200 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031460200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 79% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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