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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

South Brighton Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031611400 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,587 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 17031611400 covers part of the South Brighton area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,587. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 23% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,034
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate49.6%
Median income$32,056

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In South Brighton
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#156 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#167 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8049, -87.6722 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Brighton scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
49.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,124 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How South Brighton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Brighton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 611400Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 327Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2010)
  • 23Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170316114002001: 18 filings (2.30/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (2.42/100 renter HHs)2003: 19 filings (2.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 16 filings (2.04/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (1.35/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)2007: 22 filings (3.31/100 renter HHs)2008: 25 filings (3.76/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2010: 42 filings (5.51/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (4.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (2.79/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 26 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2015: 23 filings (3.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Brighton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Brighton

Cost burden runs 64% here against 45.6% across Cook County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Housing insecurity runs 45.1% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 50%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $32,056, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. At $1,124 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Court records carry 327 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 5.5% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031611400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031611400?

Census tract 17031611400 in the South Brighton neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031611400?

Median gross rent is $1,124/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031611400?

49.6% of residents in tract 17031611400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,587.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031611400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 92th, minority 98th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 17031611400 considered part of South Brighton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031611400 fall within South Brighton (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031611400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031611400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.22% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031611400 struggle to pay rent?

About 45.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031611400 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031611400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031611400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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