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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Theatre District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031320102 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,429 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

17031320102 is a census tract in the Theatre District area of Chicago, IL. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,429. At $2,462 a month, rents run 71% over what the rest of Chicago commands.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 42% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units2,748
Renter share77.2%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$109,211

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Theatre District
Moderate
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#614 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#776 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#994 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8851, -87.6242 · click any tract to drill in

Why Theatre District scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,462 rent vs county FMR
9.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Theatre District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Theatre District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 320102Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Theatre District

The voucher gap is 39.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9/10.

77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 17.4% against 31.5% nationally. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $109,211.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031320102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031320102?

Census tract 17031320102 in the Theatre District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031320102?

Median gross rent is $2,462/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031320102?

10.3% of residents in tract 17031320102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,429.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031320102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 0th, minority 59th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 17031320102 considered part of Theatre District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031320102 fall within Theatre District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17031320102 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17031320102 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031320102 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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