Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
The Island Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cicero
Tract 17031252101 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,492 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
17031252101 is a census tract in the The Island area of Chicago, IL. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,492. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units728
Renter share69.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$50,139
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cicero and the region
Centroid at 41.8739, -87.7699 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Island scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cicero
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,054 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cicero
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cicero
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cicero
6.5
How The Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 27%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 742Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.3%Peak (2011)
- 47Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.5%Housing insecurity
- 17.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.7%Food insecurity
- 32.4%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Island
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. SNAP participation runs 32.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $1,054, 27% below the Chicago average. Housing insecurity runs 27.5% against 14.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 742 filings here across 15 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 15.3% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031252101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031252101?
Census tract 17031252101 in the The Island neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031252101?
Median gross rent is $1,054/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031252101?
18.1% of residents in tract 17031252101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,492.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031252101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 88th, minority 98th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 17031252101 considered part of The Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031252101 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031252101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 742 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031252101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.83% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031252101 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031252101 compare to Cicero overall?
Tract 17031252101 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Cicero at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031252101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cicero
Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Polish Village
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Park Manor Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Heart of Chicago
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr West
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stewart Ridge
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Little India
8.1
/ 10 · High
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