4 census tracts · pop 19,843 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10
· range 6–7.9
The Island is a 4-tract neighborhood of Cicero, IL, population 19,843. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.4/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Cicero baseline of 28.8%, 39% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6 to 7.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 22.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
Court records carry 1,997 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 15.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.6% in 2015, is well off that peak.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $73,833, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $1,121, close to the Cicero average.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
The Island vs CiceroHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in The Island
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,997Total filings (sum)
4.02%Avg annual filing rate
15.3%Peak year (2014)
4.68%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Island
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
26.8%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility shutoff threat
32.9%Food insecurity
24.7%SNAP enrollment
26.8%No health insurance
32.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Island
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Island?
The Island scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Island compare to Cicero overall?
The Island scores 0.3 points higher than Cicero overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,121 vs $1,154.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Island?
Average gross rent in The Island is $1,121/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Island residents are renters?
46% of The Island households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Cicero). The neighborhood has 19,843 residents.
Q5
Is The Island a high social-vulnerability area?
The Island sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in The Island have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in The Island is census tract 17031252101 (score 7.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 7.9, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7
How safe is The Island for landlords?
The Island carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cicero as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of The Island?
The Island has 19,933 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (75.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
