Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
The Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cicero
Tract 17031813500 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,298 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 17031813500 belongs to the The Island area of Cicero, Illinois. It is home to 6,298 residents and scores 5.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #35,716 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,081 a month while the average household earns $77,713 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,131
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$77,713
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cicero and the region
Centroid at 41.8582, -87.7758 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Island scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cicero
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,081 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cicero
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cicero
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cicero
5.8
How The Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 485Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.9%Peak (2014)
- 46Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.6%Food insecurity
- 22.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 27.8%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Island
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cicero eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031813500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813500?
Census tract 17031813500 in the The Island neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031813500?
Median gross rent is $1,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813500?
11.1% of residents in tract 17031813500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,298.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 46th, minority 93th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 17031813500 considered part of The Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813500 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 485 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031813500 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031813500 compare to Cicero overall?
Tract 17031813500 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Cicero at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031813500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cicero
Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Mandell
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Clyde
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Clyde
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Mandell
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Clyde
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Clyde
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
The Island
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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