Tract 17031826402 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 5,109 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
17031826402 is a census tract in the Berger area of Dolton, IL. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 85% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 4%Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,893
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$53,407
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Berger
Moderate
Within parent city
80th percentile
#2 of 6 tracts In Dolton
High
Within county
74th percentile
#345 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
89th percentile
#348 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dolton and the region
Centroid at 41.6281, -87.5901 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berger scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dolton
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,543 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dolton
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dolton
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dolton
8.7
How Berger compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
85%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
27.7%Housing insecurity
19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
34.2%Food insecurity
36.0%SNAP enrollment
15.9%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Berger
32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 36.0% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10.
Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $53,407, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 438 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,543, 11% above the Dolton average.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 13.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031826402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031826402?
Census tract 17031826402 in the Berger neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031826402?
Median gross rent is $1,543/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031826402?
20.9% of residents in tract 17031826402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,109.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031826402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 79th, minority 96th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 17031826402 considered part of Berger?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031826402 fall within Berger (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031826402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 438 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031826402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.67% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031826402 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031826402 compare to Dolton overall?
Tract 17031826402 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dolton at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dolton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031826402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dolton
Top eight tracts in Dolton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.