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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Forest-Southview Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Calumet City

Tract 17031826202 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,662 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Forest-Southview Historic District area of Calumet City anchors census tract 17031826202, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 69% of US census tracts.

About 85% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 63% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,570 a month against an average household income of $56,295 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 4% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,971
Renter share27.8%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$56,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest-Southview Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Calumet City
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#344 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#440 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Calumet City and the region

Centroid at 41.5932, -87.5364 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest-Southview Historic District scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Calumet City
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,570 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Calumet City
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Calumet City
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Calumet City
4.0

How Forest-Southview Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest-Southview Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 826202Calumet City: 4.94.9Calumet Cityparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 532Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 7.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.2%Peak (2008)
  • 45Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318262022001: 39 filings (10.86/100 renter HHs)2002: 24 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2004: 41 filings (11.42/100 renter HHs)2005: 26 filings (6.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 26 filings (6.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 24 filings (5.54/100 renter HHs)2008: 66 filings (15.24/100 renter HHs)2009: 38 filings (8.78/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (4.97/100 renter HHs)2011: 36 filings (6.09/100 renter HHs)2012: 40 filings (6.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 36 filings (6.09/100 renter HHs)2014: 38 filings (6.43/100 renter HHs)2015: 45 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 15% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest-Southview Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Calumet City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031826202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031826202?

Census tract 17031826202 in the Forest-Southview Historic District neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031826202?

Median gross rent is $1,570/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031826202?

24.0% of residents in tract 17031826202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,662.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031826202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 85th, minority 85th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 17031826202 considered part of Forest-Southview Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031826202 fall within Forest-Southview Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031826202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031826202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.68% of renter households, peaking at 15.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031826202 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031826202 compare to Calumet City overall?

Tract 17031826202 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Calumet City at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Calumet City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031826202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Calumet City

Top eight tracts in Calumet City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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