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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

Ellsworth Eviction Risk: Elevated , Elmwood Park

Tract 17031810701 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,579 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

17031810701 is a census tract in the Ellsworth area of Elmwood Park, IL. It scores 6.2/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 31% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,871
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$72,418

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Ellsworth
Elevated
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Elmwood Park
High
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#681 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#802 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood Park and the region

Centroid at 41.9309, -87.8115 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ellsworth scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elmwood Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,282 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elmwood Park
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elmwood Park
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elmwood Park
5.0

How Ellsworth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ellsworth risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 810701Elmwood Park: 6.06.0Elmwood Parkparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 211Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2013)
  • 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318107012001: 15 filings (1.65/100 renter HHs)2002: 13 filings (1.43/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (0.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (1.06/100 renter HHs)2006: 10 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (1.06/100 renter HHs)2008: 11 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2009: 20 filings (2.65/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2011: 21 filings (2.26/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 18 filings (1.93/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (1.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ellsworth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ellsworth

The dominant input is local political climate at 7.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.

Cost burden runs 40% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Court records carry 211 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.5% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031810701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031810701?

Census tract 17031810701 in the Ellsworth neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031810701?

Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031810701?

11.9% of residents in tract 17031810701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,579.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031810701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 53th, minority 59th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 17031810701 considered part of Ellsworth?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031810701 fall within Ellsworth (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031810701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 211 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031810701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.62% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031810701 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031810701 compare to Elmwood Park overall?

Tract 17031810701 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Elmwood Park at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elmwood Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031810701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elmwood Park

Top eight tracts in Elmwood Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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