Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Ellsworth Eviction Risk: Elevated , Elmwood Park
Tract 17031831600 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 7,221 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
17031831600 is a census tract in the Ellsworth area of Chicago, IL. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 63% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%Stable renters 19%Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,576
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$59,535
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86th percentile
#2 of 8 tracts In Ellsworth
High
Within parent city
38th percentile
#488 of 792 tracts In Elmwood Park
Low
Within county
57th percentile
#576 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
80th percentile
#662 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elmwood Park and the region
Centroid at 41.9256, -87.7976 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellsworth scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elmwood Park
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,181 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elmwood Park
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elmwood Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elmwood Park
6.5
How Ellsworth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
78%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
83%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
21.1%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
26.0%Food insecurity
18.7%SNAP enrollment
11.1%Transit barriers
22.6%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellsworth
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.6% against 11.3% nationally.
At $1,181 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The filing record is not thin: 355 evictions over 15 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 26.0% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.6 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Filings peaked in 2011 at 3.7% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031831600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031831600?
Census tract 17031831600 in the Ellsworth neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031831600?
Median gross rent is $1,181/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031831600?
6.4% of residents in tract 17031831600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,221.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031831600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 93th, minority 78th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 17031831600 considered part of Ellsworth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031831600 fall within Ellsworth (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031831600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 355 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031831600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.16% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031831600 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031831600 compare to Elmwood Park overall?
Tract 17031831600 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Elmwood Park at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elmwood Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031831600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elmwood Park
Top eight tracts in Elmwood Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.