Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Southtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Park
Tract 17031816100 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,968 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
For landlords sizing up the Southtown neighborhood of Oak Park, census tract 17031816100 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,309 a month against an average household income of $62,389 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,563
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$62,389
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park and the region
Centroid at 41.8616, -87.8184 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southtown scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,309 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park
5.0
How Southtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 790Total filings over 15 yrs
- 4.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2013)
- 45Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 15.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southtown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031816100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031816100?
Census tract 17031816100 in the Southtown neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031816100?
Median gross rent is $1,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031816100?
10.9% of residents in tract 17031816100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,968.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031816100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 75th, minority 64th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 17031816100 considered part of Southtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031816100 fall within Southtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031816100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 790 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031816100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.48% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031816100 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031816100 compare to Oak Park overall?
Tract 17031816100 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Oak Park at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031816100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park
Top eight tracts in Oak Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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