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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,188 of 84,120 nationally

Deerpath Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest

Tract 17097863500 · Lake County, IL · pop 4,439 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 17097863500 sits in the Deerpath neighborhood of Lake Forest, Illinois. It has a population of 4,439 and an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). 41% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 31% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,911/month against a median household income of $206,500 — roughly 11% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 11% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,096
Renter share17.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$206,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Deerpath
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank — 20th percentileBottomTop
#5 of 6 tracts In Lake Forest
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank — 37th percentileBottomTop
#101 of 159 tracts In Lake County
Low
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank — 42th percentileBottomTop
#1,897 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 42.2555, -87.8644 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deerpath scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,911 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
4.6

How Deerpath compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deerpath risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 863500Lake Forest: 5.15.1Lake Forestparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B — Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17097863500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17097863500?

Census tract 17097863500 in the Deerpath neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17097863500?

Median gross rent is $1,911/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17097863500?

3.3% of residents in tract 17097863500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,439.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17097863500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 60th, minority 29th, housing 74th.

Q5

Is tract 17097863500 considered part of Deerpath?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17097863500 fall within Deerpath (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 17097863500 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 17097863500 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 17097863500 scores 5.2/10 — right in line with the parent city of Lake Forest at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q8

Was tract 17097863500 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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