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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Sugar Bend IV Eviction Risk: Lower , Collinsville

Tract 17119403534 · Madison County, IL · pop 4,241 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17119403534 (the Sugar Bend IV neighborhood of Collinsville, Illinois) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

22% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,288 monthly, set against $80,956 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 16% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,803
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$80,956

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Sugar Bend IV
Moderate
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Collinsville
Very Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#43 of 63 tracts In Madison County
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,924 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Collinsville and the region

Centroid at 38.7006, -90.0133 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sugar Bend IV scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Collinsville
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,288 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Collinsville
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Collinsville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Collinsville
6.1

How Sugar Bend IV compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sugar Bend IV risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 403534Collinsville: 4.24.2Collinsvilleparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 1.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2005)
  • 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 171194035342004: 5 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (2.06/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (1.80/100 renter HHs)2007: 3 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2008: 3 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 2 filings (0.76/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (1.89/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sugar Bend IV

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Collinsville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Madison County average of 5.6 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 48 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.1% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17119403534

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17119403534?

Census tract 17119403534 in the Sugar Bend IV neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17119403534?

Median gross rent is $1,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17119403534?

5.6% of residents in tract 17119403534 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,241.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17119403534?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 41th, minority 24th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 17119403534 considered part of Sugar Bend IV?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17119403534 fall within Sugar Bend IV (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17119403534?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 17119403534 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.55% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17119403534 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17119403534 compare to Collinsville overall?

Tract 17119403534 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Collinsville at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Collinsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Collinsville

Top eight tracts in Collinsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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