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Census Tract · Ranked #68,177 of 84,120 nationally

Bull Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17111870814 · McHenry County, IL · pop 3,671 · 23% of tract blocks fall in Bull Valley

Census tract 17111870814 is in Bull Valley, Illinois. It has a population of 3,671 and an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). 13% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 13% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,821/month against a median household income of $141,875 — roughly 15% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share1.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$141,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Bull Valley
Moderate
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank — 14th percentileBottomTop
#55 of 64 tracts In McHenry County
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank — 10th percentileBottomTop
#2,927 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very Low
National
19 th percentile
Rank — 19th percentileBottomTop
#68,177 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bull Valley and the region

Centroid at 42.3003, -88.3341 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bull Valley scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bull Valley
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,821 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bull Valley
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bull Valley
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bull Valley
4.8

How Bull Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bull Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 870814Bull Valley: 5.05.0Bull Valleyparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17111870814

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17111870814?

Census tract 17111870814 in Bull Valley scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17111870814?

Median gross rent is $1,821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17111870814?

8.7% of residents in tract 17111870814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,671.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17111870814?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 9th, minority 17th, housing 9th.

Q5

What share of households in tract 17111870814 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q6

How does tract 17111870814 compare to Bull Valley overall?

Tract 17111870814 scores 4.3/10 — lower than the parent city of Bull Valley at 5.0/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bull Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

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