Central Business District Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is a renter market: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

20.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $741 a month, rents sit 26% under what the rest of Peoria commands.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Against a Peoria baseline of 30.0%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Peoria, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, North Florence and Moss Bradley score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.