Southtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against a Peoria baseline of 30.0%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 51%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation is 66.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 54.8% of adults, 37.0 points above the national rate. 97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

At $795 a month, rents sit 21% under what the rest of Peoria commands. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.

Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Peoria, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are North Florence and Moss Bradley. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.