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Neighborhood · Rock Island, IL

Broadway Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

8 census tracts · pop 24,670 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 3.9–6

Broadway Historic District takes in 8 census tracts of Rock Island, IL, population 24,670. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Rock Island baseline of 32.0%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.9 to 6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. SNAP participation is 29.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.6/10.

Food insecurity affects 27.6% of adults, 9.8 points above the national rate. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10.

Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $857, close to the Rock Island average.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
8 tracts · population-weighted
Broadway Historic District vs Rock Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.8% +37%
Rock Island: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$857 +2%
Rock Island: $842
Average HH income
$52,180 -9%
Rock Island: $57,292
Poverty rate
22.9% +9%
Rock Island: 21.0%
Renter share
38.2% +9%
Rock Island: 35.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Broadway Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 3.9–6

Why Broadway Historic District scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Economic stress
22.9% below poverty line · Range 1.6–10.0 across tracts
5.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.0 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Broadway Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Broadway Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3Broadway Historic Neighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Broadway Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 3.9 to 6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Broadway Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17161022800 6 5,471 50% $816
17161023500 6 1,930 56% $1,008
17161022600 6 1,827 65% $668
17161023600 6 1,399 36% $611
17161023700 5.8 2,202 37% $877
17161023300 5.1 3,562 44% $944
17161023200 4.4 5,363 44% $819
17161022900 3.9 2,916 21% $1,020
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Broadway Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Broadway Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Broadway Historic District?

Broadway Historic District scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Broadway Historic District compare to Rock Island overall?

Broadway Historic District scores 0.7 points higher than Rock Island overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $857 vs $842.
Q3

What is the average rent in Broadway Historic District?

Average gross rent in Broadway Historic District is $857/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Broadway Historic District residents are renters?

38% of Broadway Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Rock Island). The neighborhood has 24,670 residents.
Q5

Is Broadway Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Broadway Historic District sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Broadway Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Broadway Historic District is census tract 17161022800 (score 6/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 6, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Broadway Historic District for landlords?

Broadway Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rock Island as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Broadway Historic District?

Broadway Historic District has 24,409 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.3%), Hispanic / Latino (14.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Broadway Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rock Island

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Broadway Historic District.

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