Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 17163502300 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17163502300 ·
St. Clair County, IL · pop 5,158
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 17163502300 in St. Clair County, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 23%Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,015
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate33.8%
Median income$37,295
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In city
Moderate
Within county
85th percentile
#11 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
High
Within state
70th percentile
#994 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
76th percentile
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Clair County and the region
Centroid at 38.5806, -90.1918 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 17163502300 scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
33.8% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$788 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 17163502300 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
89%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
5%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
29.9%Housing insecurity
23.0%Utility-shutoff threat
38.7%Food insecurity
44.8%SNAP enrollment
19.1%Transit barriers
12.3%No health insurance
22.3%Frequent mental distress
39.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 17163502300
Food insecurity runs 38.7% against 17.8% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the high side, economic stress reads 8.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 29.9% against 14.2% nationally. Against the St. Clair County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for East St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.
about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17163502300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163502300?
Census tract 17163502300 in St. Clair County scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17163502300?
Median gross rent is $788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17163502300?
33.8% of residents in tract 17163502300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,158.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17163502300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 83th, minority 77th, housing 54th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17163502300 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
Was tract 17163502300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.