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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201003707 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 3,525 · 28% of tract blocks fall in Rockford

Tract 17201003707 covers Rockford in Winnebago County in Illinois. Home to 3,525 residents, it scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 16% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $845 a month against an average household income of $62,095 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 51% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units2,024
Renter share74.6%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$62,095

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 54 tracts In Rockford
Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#47 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Moderate
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#1,443 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.1991, -89.0158 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$845 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rockford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 003707Rockford: 4.24.2Rockfordparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201003707

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003707?

Census tract 17201003707 in Rockford scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201003707?

Median gross rent is $845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003707?

9.2% of residents in tract 17201003707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,525.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003707?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 9th, minority 56th, housing 44th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17201003707 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17201003707 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201003707 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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