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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201002100 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,145

Census tract 17201002100 covers part of Rockford, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,145. Against Winnebago County at 44.4%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 16% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units761
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate54.4%
Median income$26,509

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#11 of 54 tracts In Rockford
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2332, -89.0955 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
54.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$768 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rockford risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0021004.0Rockfordparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 54.3% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Housing insecurity runs 34.5% against 14.2% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $26,509, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

At $768 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Rockford commands. Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201002100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201002100?

Census tract 17201002100 in Rockford scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201002100?

Median gross rent is $768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201002100?

54.4% of residents in tract 17201002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,145.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 97th, minority 76th, housing 13th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17201002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17201002100 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201002100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 17201002100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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