Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17201002400 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,553 · 65% of tract blocks fall in Rockford
17201002400 is a census tract in Rockford, IL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,553 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Rockford and the region
Centroid at 42.2705, -89.1398 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rockford scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Rockford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 80%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 40.0%Housing insecurity
- 30.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 54.6%Food insecurity
- 61.4%SNAP enrollment
- 27.7%Transit barriers
- 21.6%No health insurance
- 25.4%Frequent mental distress
- 49.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Rockford
Housing insecurity runs 40.0% against 14.2% nationally. Against Winnebago County at 44.4%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $695 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Rockford commands. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.2/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.6% against 11.3% nationally.
It sits 1.1 points above the Winnebago County average of 4.3. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $29,823.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 17201002400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201002400?
What is the average rent in tract 17201002400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201002400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201002400?
What share of households in tract 17201002400 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17201002400 compare to Rockford overall?
Was tract 17201002400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Rockford
Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.