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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Jackson Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rockford

Tract 17201001200 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,744 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 17201001200 sits in Jackson Oaks in Rockford eviction risk, Illinois eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $822 a month against an average household income of $22,417 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. About 79% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 37% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units929
Renter share79.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate58.7%
Median income$22,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Jackson Oaks
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 54 tracts In Rockford
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#276 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2553, -89.0801 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jackson Oaks scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
58.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$822 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How Jackson Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jackson Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 001200Rockford: 4.24.2Rockfordparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Jackson Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jackson Oaks

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 78% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201001200?

Census tract 17201001200 in the Jackson Oaks neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201001200?

Median gross rent is $822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201001200?

58.7% of residents in tract 17201001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,744.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 99th, minority 84th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 17201001200 considered part of Jackson Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201001200 fall within Jackson Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201001200 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201001200 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201001200 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17201001200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 78% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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