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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Rum Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Bend

Tract 18141002700 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 1,548 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Eviction risk in the Rum Village area of South Bend centers on tract 18141002700, which scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,548 residents. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,171 a month against an average household income of $40,852 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 31% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units415
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$40,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Rum Village
Very Low
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 47 tracts In South Bend
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 82 tracts In St. Joseph County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#163 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Bend and the region

Centroid at 41.6631, -86.2703 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rum Village scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Bend
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,171 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Bend
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Bend
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Bend
2.5

How Rum Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rum Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 002700South Bend: 2.62.6South Bendparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 20.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.4%Peak (2015)
  • 22Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 93Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rum Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rum Village

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South Bend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Joseph County average of 5.2 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 20.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.4% of renter households in 2015.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 18141002700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141002700?

Census tract 18141002700 in the Rum Village neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18141002700?

Median gross rent is $1,171/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18141002700?

35.9% of residents in tract 18141002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,548.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18141002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 76th, minority 78th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 18141002700 considered part of Rum Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141002700 fall within Rum Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141002700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.37% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 18141002700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 18141002700 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 18141002700 compare to South Bend overall?

Tract 18141002700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of South Bend at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 18141002700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Bend

Top eight tracts in South Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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